Oceanic Stochastic Parameterizations in a Seasonal Forecast System

Stochastic Demand Forecast and Inventory Management of a Seasonal Product in a Supply Chain System

ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to thank my Professor Bhaba R. Sarker, chairman of my doctoral committee, for his invaluable support, advice, and encouragement in bringing this research work to a successful completion. He has taught me a great many things, guided me as to how to deal with new problems. I would also like to express my gratitude to all members of my dissertation committee, sugge...

Ncep Dynamical Seasonal Forecast System 2000

JULY 2002 AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY | I n April 2000, a new dynamical seasonal prediction system was introduced at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP; the acronyms used in this paper are summarized in the appendix). The transition to the new system was hastened by a computer fire in September 1999 and subsequent changeover from a Cray C90 to an IBM-SP computer system....

S4CAST seasonal forecast model

Introduction Conclusions References

Weather Derivatives and Seasonal Forecast

The purpose of this paper is to incorporate the CPC (Climate Prediction Center) seasonal forecast in the temperature process so that conditional means and conditional variances of both the temperature and the CDD (Cooling Degree Day) may be redetermined in accordance with the seasonal forecasting probabilities. Under the Gaussian property of the underlying process, the prices of the CDD options...

Enhanced seasonal forecast skill following